BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Thornburg Tri-County

Class: 1A Class Rank: 112 Conference: (3-18) Overall: (3-18) Overall Strength =   48.96

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2008 Away    L *  41.67  35   72   1A   21 (19- 5) Lynnville-Sully        -6.11 *  -30.89                      
  2 12/05/2008 Away    L *  48.62  39   59   1A   53 (14- 9) Montezuma               0.85    -20.85                      
  3 12/12/2008 Away    L *  42.03  32   46   2A  120 ( 5-16) Sigourney              -5.74     -8.26                      
  4 01/03/2009 Home    W *  59.01  57   38   2A  128 ( 0-22) Marengo Iowa Valley    11.23      7.77  was 12/19 now 01/03 
  5 01/06/2009 Home    L *  48.00  41   46   1A  104 ( 7-15) English Valleys         0.22     -5.22                      
  6 01/09/2009 Away    L *  47.05  26   60   1A    6 (21- 2) Keota                  -0.72 *  -33.28                      
  7 01/10/2009 Away    L *  44.32  35   69   1A   24 (19- 4) Victor HLV             -3.46 *  -30.54  was 12/16 now 01/10 
  8 01/19/2009 Away    L *  45.02  33   52   1A   70 (12-10) Brooklyn BGM           -2.76    -16.24  was 12/09 now 01/19 
  9 01/20/2009 Away    L *  59.63  39   45   1A   62 (12-11) North Mahaska          11.85    -17.85                      
 10 01/23/2009 Home    L *  45.93  36   51   1A   70 (12-10) Brooklyn BGM           -1.84    -13.16                      
 11 01/24/2009 Away    L *  36.55  39   68   2A   95 (12-11) Belle Plaine          -11.22    -17.78  was 12/22 now 01/24 
 12 01/27/2009 Home    W *  56.94  41   37   2A  120 ( 5-16) Sigourney               9.17     -5.17                      
 13 01/28/2009 Home    L *  41.53  32   56   1A   53 (14- 9) Montezuma              -6.24    -17.76  was 01/16 now 01/28 
 14 01/30/2009 Home    L *  25.23  32   82   1A   24 (19- 4) Victor HLV            -22.55 *  -27.45                      
 15 02/03/2009 Away    W *  57.10  52   38   2A  128 ( 0-22) Marengo Iowa Valley     9.32      4.68                      
 16 02/04/2009 Home    L *  47.58  28   56   1A   21 (19- 5) Lynnville-Sully        -0.19 *  -27.81  was 01/13 now 02/04 
 17 02/06/2009 Home    L *  46.46  43   59   2A   95 (12-11) Belle Plaine           -1.31    -14.69                      
 18 02/09/2009 Home    L *  62.96  40   55   1A    6 (21- 2) Keota                  15.19 *  -30.19                      
 19 02/10/2009 Away    L *  53.09  54   57   1A  104 ( 7-15) English Valleys         5.31     -8.31                      
 20 02/14/2009 Home    L *  50.54  39   51   1A   62 (12-11) North Mahaska           2.77    -14.77  was 02/13 now 02/14 
 21 02/16/2009 Home    L *  44.00  41   50   1A  104 ( 7-15) English Valleys        -3.78     -5.22                      
      Averages              47.77  38.8 54.6

Best game:   62.96 = 15 point loss to Keota
Worst game:  25.23 = 50 point loss to Victor HLV
Team stdev:   8.63